By
Willie Gannon
(Featured Columnist) on February 7, 2010
The draw for the qualifying section of Euro 2012 was made this morning and it threw up a few tough groups that the likes of England, Holland, Germany, and France should negotiate but will find the going difficult.
Fifty-one countries entered the draw, with duel host nations, Poland and Ukraine, waiting for them in the finals.
The groups will be contested across the usual league system on a home-and-away basis, with all matches scheduled between September 2010 and October 2011.
The nine winners and the runner-up with the best record against the top fie teams in their group will join the two hosts in the finals. The eight remaining runners-up go into play-off matches in November 2011 to decide the final four sides to join co-hosts Poland and Ukraine, making it 16 teams who will battle for Spain's title.
It's worth noting that Euro 2012 will be the last European Championships with 16 teams, as form Euro 2016 the tournament will be expanded to 24 teams after the Scottish and Irish Football Associations raised the issue of expansion in a recent meeting. As it stands, France, Italy, and Turkey are competing to host the tournament.
But back to the present. The draw was made in Warsaw and the road to Euro 2012 can finally begin. To see a UEFA simulation of the draw click
here .
Group A has
Germany as favourites and top seeds. But they will pretty much have to face six derby's after being drawn with local rivals
Austria and
Belgium , as well as having to face
Turkey , who have massive representation in Germany.
Kazakhstan and
Azerbaijan will make up the group, but in reality neither have a chance of qualification.
The German's should top the group even though their matches against their three rivals will be tight affairs as the Kazakh's and Azerbaijani's are likely to take points off the unprepared. Belgium could cause a few shocks, especially as they have a brilliant youth system about to blossom.
Winners: Germany
Second: Belgium
Group B is one of the most wide open.
Russia are top seeds but will have to face
Slovakia , as well as a trip to Lansdowne Road when they play
Ireland . There is not much between these teams and while the Russians will be favourites, the Slovak's and Irish will fancy their chances of either sneaking the group of taking the best runner up spot that would also guarantee qualification.
Macedonia ,
Armenia , and
Andorra will make up the rest of the group, with the Macedonian's in particular likely to cause some upsets.
Winners: Russia
Best runners-up: Ireland
Group C will be carved up between
Italy and
Serbia . No one else in this section has a chance of topping the group and it is very likely that it could come down to goal difference, even at this early stage of predictions.
Northern Ireland ,
Slovenia , and
Estonia will all hope that each other takes points off one of the big two while they capitalise on the situation. The truth of the matter is that they are all evenly matched are are more likely to damage each others seeding for the next World Cup draw.
The group is finished off by Brian Kerr's
Faroe Islands . They're guaranteed to finish bottom but should take vital points off the less experienced teams.
Winners: Italy
Second: Serbia
Group D will be tough to call, especially if Raymond Domenech holds onto his job past South Africa. It's most likely that he will be replaced by Laurent Blanc by the time the Euro's start so expect a new look French team to take the battle to their rivals.
Even with their recent lack lustre displays,
France are easily the strongest team in this weak looking group.
Romania will have a lot to do to finish second never mind win the group. Bosnia-Herzegovina are improving and will look to take advantage of Romania's demise over the past couple of years.
Belarus ,
Albania , and
Luxumbourg will make up the group and none of the leading teams will fancy needing to take points in these hard to go places, with the exception of Luxumbourg.
Winners: France
Second: Bosnia Herzegovina
Group E is possibly the toughest the call.
Holland are joined by
Sweden ,
Finland , and the improving
Hungary .
Moldova and
San Marino make up the make-weights of this nasty looking group.
Holland are very dependent on Robin van Persie and will be hoping that the Arsenal star will be fully recovered from his injury problems come September never mind next June. If fit, the Dutch are easy favourites. Without him, they could be exposed by the Swedish.
Sweden are really Holland's only rivals, but they themselves could be overtaken by Hungary in particular if they are off form.
Winners: Holland
Second: Sweden
Group F is probably the weakest group on show.
Croatia are no great shakes and are the type of team who can all too easily be put off their game. For that reason almost every team in this hardest to call group has a chance.
Greece are always tough to beat, but don't score enough.
Israel score their fair share, but drop silly points. While
Latvia and
Georgia will both be looking to finish second.
Poor old Malta finish out the group, but on their day they can be difficult to beat, especially in the heat of Valetta.
Winners: Greece
Second: Israel
Group G is the first of three five team groups, and as such will be at a major disadvantage in chasing that coveted best runner up spot.
England are easy favourites, but will have to work to qualify.
Switzerland and
Bulgaria are the immediate threats but should not trouble England in the slightest. The hard working Swiss will perhaps show the biggest threat over the Dimitar Berbatov led Bulgarian's.
Actually, England's most difficult matches should be against John Toshack's young
Wales .
Fixture negotiation will be key in ascertaining the Welsh threat in this group, but Wales could finish second and improve their seeding.
Montenegro are the worst possible fifth seeds England could have drawn. More than capable of putting it up to the group favourites, they will fancy their chances of causing a major upset and finishing second.
Winners: England
Second: Switzerland
Group H is the group of death before the group of death.
Denmark ,
Portugal, Norway, and
Cyprus will be joined by
Iceland in a group where every team is capable of taking points off each other.
Portugal will probably start as favourites but that will not frighten any of their rivals. Denmark won't fear them, neither will Norway or Cyprus who improve with every qualifying campaign.
The fact that the group is made of five teams means that there is almost no room for error. For that reason I expect the well drilled Dane's to progress.
Winners: Denmark
Second: Portugal
Group I sees current champions
Spain face the
Czech Republic ,
Scotland ,
Lithuania , and
Lichtenstein .
Qualification as best runner up is practically impossible in this of all groups as it's likely to be so tight, as all the five team groups seem to be.
Spain will qualify easily so that leaves a straight up battle for second. Scotland are about as poor as they have ever been. The Czech Republic are getting worse every year and Lithuania are no great shakes.
At home all three will be formidable but they will drop points away. It's all a matter of who will hold their nerve when it's needed most.
Winners: Spain
Second: Lithuania
from http://bleacherreport.com
Berikut hasil lengkap Kualifikasi Euro 2012:
Kualifikasi Euro 2012 Grup A
Kazakhstan 0 - 3 Turki
Belgia 0 - 1 Jerman
Kualifikasi Euro 2012 Group B
Armenia 0 - 1 Rep. Irelandia
Andorra 0 - 2 Rusia
Slovakia 1 - 0 Rep. of Macedonia
Kualifikasi Euro 2012 Grup C
Kepulauan Faroe 0 - 3 Serbia
Estonia 1 - 2 Italia
Slovenia 0 - 1 Irlandia Utara
Kualifikasi Euro 2012 Group D
Rumania 1 - 1 Albania
Luxemburg 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina
Prancis 0 - 1 Belarusia
Kualifikasi Euro 2012 Group F
Latvia 0 - 3 Kroasia
Yunani 1 - 1 Georgia
Kualifikasi Euro 2012 Group G
Montenegro 1 - 0 Wales
Inggris 4 - 0 Bulgaria
Kualifikasi Euro 2012 Group H
Islandia 1 - 2 Norwegia
Portugal 4 - 4 Siprus
Kualifikasi Euro 2012 Group I
Lithuania 0 - 0 Scotland
Liechtenstein 0 - 4 Spain
(hmr)
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